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Gannett News Service
special report

Post-election
analysis and context


Republicans keep House, retake Senate

Voters show little desire for dramatic change in deciding hotly contested races

Bush uses bully pulpit to tip scales to Republicans

Daschle says he has no regrets about Democrats' campaign

Election 2002 had its share of winners, losers

GOP limits Democratic gains in governor's races

More Americans vote, but black turnout might have faltered

Republican gains include state legislatures

Environmentalists lose big in congressional elections

Voters just say no to pot, and other ballot questions

Fittingly, season of the unexpected ends with more twists and turns

A primer on what to watch election night

Congress will be missing some colorful, notable members in January


Broward sees few voting problems

 
Mood of America:
Exclusive GNS poll

Voters deal with dueling concerns as election draws near

Partisan divide evident as election draws near

Faith in police, firefighters, military remains high long after 9-11

Poll: young people see voting
as a choice, not a duty

 
 
Earlier election news

Senate political control remains up in the air

Senate races down to the wire, hinge on voter turnout

Daschle barnstorms key states trying to hold Senate majority

Gephardt whips up Democratic voters to boost party chances — and maybe his own

Florida prepares for 'must-win' gubernatorial race

Even in war times, voter apathy persists among young Americans

The election of 2002: Shared insecurities

Trade issue could sway votes
in some House districts

Voters: Jobs, state budget woes key concerns

Senate may be happy homecoming for Mondale

Senator's death casts uncertain pall over elections

 

Links to more
election news

The Montgomery (Ala.) Advertiser

The Arizona Republic

The (Palm Springs, Calif.) Desert Sun

The (Wilmington, Del.) News Journal

Florida Capital News Campaign 2002

The Honolulu Advertiser

The Idaho Statesman

The Rockford (Ill.) Register Star

The (Louisville, Ky.) Courier-Journal

The Lansing (Mich.) State Journal

The (Springfield, Mo.)
News- Leader

The Reno (Nev.)
Gazette-Journal

The (East Brunswick, N.J.) Home-News Tribune

(Binghamton, N.Y.) Press & Sun-Bulletin

The Cincinnati Enquirer

The Greenville (S.C.) News

The (Nashville) Tennessean

Burlington Free Press

Green Bay (Wis.)
Press-Gazette

The Des Moines Register

Rochester (N.Y.) Democrat and Chronicle

USA TODAY

 

 

 

Added Oct. 31

GNS poll: Partisan divide evident as elections draw near


GNS Political Writer

Click the thumbnail above to look at a chart of some of the poll results.

WASHINGTON — With the 2002 elections a week away, Americans remain split over the direction of the country and the political party they want to control it.

A mid-October Mood of America poll for Gannett News Service showed that only slightly more Americans plan to vote for Democrats over Republicans in next week's congressional and gubernatorial elections. But by an even narrower margin, adults are more likely to say that Republicans have better ideas on the issues that concern them the most.

The poll of 804 adults was taken Oct. 16-22 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. It surveyed adults to try to determine why people don't vote, as well as solicited opinions of those who do vote. Some other polls survey only likely voters. The results in those polls this fall have also consistently shown a close split between the two political parties.

Although there are many high-stakes issues involved in the debate this year, from war to economic security to prescription drugs costs, not all Americans are that interested in voting - especially young people, according to GNS' poll.

Overall, 72 percent of respondents said it was very likely they will vote next Tuesday, but only 38 percent of those under 30 said they would do so. The Mood of America poll, done by Opinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J., sampled another 400 younger Americans; that sample of people 18 to 30 has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points.

President Bush's job approval rating dipped to 57 percent in the latest poll. He had been above 70 percent for months after the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. But his pollster, Matthew Dowd, predicted in January that Bush's approval rating would fall closer to the election as voters returned to their partisan leanings.

The GNS poll points to an American public that is pulled in many directions when it comes to specific issues.

"It is not as though there is no story, it is that there are multiple story lines, an unusual number of story lines," said William Galston, a former domestic policy adviser to ex-President Bill Clinton.

That could prescribe a muddled result next Tuesday, with Republicans and Democrats canceling out wins across the map, and not much change in the makeup of the Congress. Or it could prescribe more dramatic changes in Congress if a majority of close races break toward one political party or another, as happened in both 1986 and 1996, when most close Senate races broke late toward Democrats.

"It is hard to see much of a break in either direction," Galston said. "But obviously, things are so evenly balanced it would not take much of a break to produce some institutional changes. "

Currently, there are 49 Democratic and 49 Republican senators with the death last Friday of Sen. Paul Wellstone, D-Minn., in a plane crash. But since Independent Jim Jeffords of Vermont votes with the Democrats, they control the Senate.

In the House, the Republicans have a 223-208 edge over Democrats. One independent votes with the Democrats, and there are three vacant seats.

Copyright 2002, Gannett News Service