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Updated Nov. 6 | 12"45 p.m. EST
Voters show little desire for dramatic change
in deciding hotly contested races
By CHUCK
RAASCH
GNS Political Writer
WASHINGTON Americans gave a hint of direction
to Congress on Tuesday by giving Republicans narrow control of the
Senate again. But the broad parity that has defined and restricted
U.S. politics over the last decade remains.
By the numbers, it was a narrow electoral triumph
for George W. Bush and his Republican Party, made so finally by
Sen. Jean Carnahan's concession in Missouri after an extremely close
loss. But even after a night of close elections, it became more
decisive than Bush's own disputed presidential victory two years
earlier.
Bush had spent most of the last week of the campaign
blazing a trail through some of the closest contests in recent election
history, and his party won enough of them to seize back control.
Bush also may become the first Republican president to gain seats
in the House of Representatives in his first mid-term election since
Teddy Roosevelt exactly 100 years ago.
But it may be a bittersweet victory if Republicans
control Congress because expectations for the GOP will be much higher
even though they will be nominally in control of both the House
and Senate.
So it came down to this: A country in the midst of
a war on terrorism and economic worries at home begrudgingly tilted
the scales to the GOP. Democrats knew they were beaten on the margins,
but beaten still, and were heavy into second-guessing even as a
slew of states were still counting votes.
Analysts were split as to whether the Democrats blew
it or whether a perfect storm of election conditions gave Bush and
the Republicans the opportunity to defy history. No single domestic
issue dominated the debate, and the prospects of war with Iraq bifurcated
voters' views even more.
``Ironically, $1 billion could be spent in this election
to preserve the status quo,'' Democratic consultant Gary Nordlinger
said late Tuesday night. He was speaking of estimates of how much
money was spent on campaign advertising in this long and increasingly
bitter election season.
Some Democrats conceded that Bush's focus on the war
on terrorism, and a potential war with Iraq trumped their ability
to make the economy the issue.
``The president did a good job talking about
Iraq and taking the oxygen out of the room,'' said Richard Michalski,
legislative and political director for the International Association
of Machinists and Aerospace Workers.
In Florida, the Bushes got vindication to supplant
the sour aftermath of the 2000 presidential election, which went
all the way to the Supreme Court. Jeb Bush, the president's brother,
easily won, further ensconcing that family as the first political
dynasty of the 21st century.
Some Floridians tacitly admitted that stature in their
votes.
"The debates, the commercials, they didn't mean
a thing," said Lou Ackerman, a service manager of a Melbourne,
Fla., car repair shop who voted for Jeb Bush. "Bush has a brother
in the White House, and it's better for Florida. I figured, go for
the clout."
And the backlash predicted from the bitter 2000 election
did not materialize as Democrats had long contemplated.
Turnout in Broward County, ground zero to some of
the worst voting problems in 2000, was lower than Democrats had
predicted, provoking finger pointing while the votes were being
counted.
"The Democrats were not energized by Bill McBride,"
said Broward Country Democratic activist Jack Shifrel, speaking
of his party's gubernatorial candidate.
Some said Democrats failed to take on the GOP on economic
issues, in part because of Bush's popularity, in part because many
Democrats in tough races had voted for Bush's tax cuts.
"The only issues left to talk about were little
issues, not the kinds that change people's positions about which
party they want to support," said Thomas Riehle, president
of the polling firm Ipsos-Reid. Left without clear debates between
the two parties, Riehle said, "the parties left voters to figure
it our for themselves."
Americans sometimes lament the gridlock produced by
such close margins in the House and the Senate, but on an individual
basis, some seemed comfortable with continuing the era of political
parity.
"I like to have the checks and balances,"
said independent Robert Obszarny, 52, a fabric salesman from Meutchen,
N.J., who voted for victor Democrat Frank Lautenberg in that state's
Senate race. "If you don't, you risk having runaway government,
and that would scare the hell out of me."
Left without issues for which to cleave major advantages,
political professionals dug in for a late ground war. Nowhere was
that more apparent than South Dakota, where political ads began
more than a year ago. Democrats had to go to Nebraska to rent vans
to take people to the polls on Election Day. Republicans claimed
to have called more than 200,000 Republicans and people likely to
vote for Republicans on Election Day, urging them to vote.
So many get-out-the-vote calls were being made into
that politics-saturated state that Steve Erpenbach, a top adviser
to Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle, got a recorded call from
New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani urging him to vote Republican. He declined.
(Contributing: Ledyard King from New Jersey, Susan
Roth from Washington, D.C., and Larry Wheeler from Florida.)
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